Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.926654 4.395776 4.905408 5.501256 6.180158 6.931167 7.827006
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.283270 3.911793 4.644205 5.564880 6.697087 8.051310 9.804749
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.859946 3.568399 4.438320 5.593572 7.100131 9.015456 11.662398
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.493288 3.225912 4.163535 5.464627 7.243931 9.621952 13.091210
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.247563 2.999715 3.997210 5.435194 7.485326 10.349320 14.735373
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.041394 2.799112 3.835698 5.381061 7.667268 10.990282 16.308031
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.952886 2.748459 3.870099 5.598008 8.249034 12.257105 18.960368
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.814980 2.612155 3.765583 5.593742 8.489236 13.021492 20.904752
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.685237 2.475116 3.645265 5.548858 8.653505 13.672193 22.728188
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.507689 2.251334 3.374484 5.241234 8.360624 13.540367 23.180000
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.427180 2.169939 3.315689 5.265408 8.612009 14.337364 25.367157
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.384389 2.143683 3.340308 5.426153 9.106342 15.599523 28.567097
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.317339 2.075524 3.295009 5.470167 9.410955 16.574673 31.393325
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.253840 2.008484 3.246227 5.503432 9.699196 17.551773 34.366575
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.194158 1.943162 3.194685 5.525855 9.967253 18.516736 37.450461
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.114475 1.838119 3.066746 5.397536 9.934328 18.884769 39.302292
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.057959 1.769038 2.996192 5.368289 10.088466 19.640810 42.114912
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.002448 1.697950 2.916771 5.314865 10.187642 20.291057 44.777005
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.989905 1.702399 2.973869 5.528783 10.851565 22.214572 50.759411
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.947778 1.650339 2.922861 5.524575 11.058009 23.160637 54.491491
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.903464 1.591445 2.854927 5.480316 11.173423 23.913325 57.849048
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.829754 1.473547 2.667483 5.176966 10.694228 23.243767 57.364303
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.801027 1.438943 2.638413 5.200805 10.945833 24.321502 61.773806